Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Stephens wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 53.2% vs Dowd 48.3% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Stephens 82.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Stephens
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (122)
49.2% (778)
+7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
44.0% (234)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Stephens is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Stephens shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Stephens
Dowd
Home
52.9% (68)
46.3% (492)
Away
58.2% (67)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Stephens
Dowd
P1
56.7%
49.1%
P2
46.3%
48.2%
P3
64.7%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%