Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Dowd 49.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 83.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Stephens
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephens
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (135)
52.2% (835)
+4.8%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
60.0% (10)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.0% (350)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Stephens is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Stephens shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Stephens
Dowd
Home
53.9% (89)
51.5% (619)
Away
53.3% (105)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Stephens
Dowd
P1
47.4%
51.7%
P2
57.7%
51.6%
P3
57.4%
47.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |