Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Frost 46.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 50.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 85.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Dvorak
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Dvorak
Frost
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
45.6% (833)
+6.6%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
46.0% (100)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
55.6% (18)
-2.1%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Frost
Home
54.1% (423)
47.0% (440)
Away
50.2% (494)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Dvorak
Frost
P1
51.4%
42.5%
P2
52.0%
47.9%
P3
52.4%
46.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |