Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Frost 50.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 73.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 78.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 77.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Malkin
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Malkin
Frost
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
9
0
Malkin
Frost
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
5
Malkin
Frost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
49.4% (3,598)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
55.5% (625)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
52.8% (36)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Malkin
Frost
Home
47.6% (5,395)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Malkin
Frost
P1
45.9%
50.8%
P2
46.2%
51.1%
P3
45.2%
48.5%
OT
49.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |