Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Frost
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Frost 46.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 57.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 60.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Gaudreau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Gaudreau
Frost
Last 9: Gaudreau 1-8 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Gaudreau
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Gaudreau
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
45.6% (833)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
46.0% (100)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
55.6% (18)
-5.3%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Frost
Home
51.1% (507)
47.0% (440)
Away
47.4% (508)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Gaudreau
Frost
P1
49.4%
42.5%
P2
47.4%
47.9%
P3
51.2%
46.6%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | OT | 00:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |