Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Hischier 53.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 85.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 89.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 64.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Frost
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Frost
Hischier
Last 10: Frost 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
2
Frost
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
52.4% (1,185)
-6.8%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
57.8% (315)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
57.1% (154)
-1.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Frost
Hischier
Home
47.0% (440)
53.4% (844)
Away
44.8% (511)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Frost
Hischier
P1
42.5%
49.7%
P2
47.9%
54.6%
P3
46.6%
56.1%
OT
66.7%
65.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |