Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Hischier 54.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 65.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 75.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 62.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Frost
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Frost
Hischier
Last 9: Frost 3-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Frost
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Frost
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
55.0% (1,107)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
63.1% (252)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
43.6% (149)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Frost
Hischier
Home
56.0% (443)
56.5% (763)
Away
56.6% (429)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Frost
Hischier
P1
58.9%
56.0%
P2
55.3%
57.6%
P3
54.0%
53.0%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |