Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Hischier 52.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 28-26 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 64.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 61.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Frost
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
28
(54 meetings)
26
28
Frost
Hischier
Last 10: Frost 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
10
6
Frost
Hischier
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
10
14
Frost
Hischier
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
8
Frost
Hischier
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
51.5% (8,379)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
59.7% (1,736)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
49.4% (903)
+3.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Frost
Hischier
Home
51.0% (2,047)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Frost
Hischier
P1
50.8%
52.9%
P2
51.1%
52.4%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
50.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |