Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Bennett 47.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 56.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 54.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Frost
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Frost
Bennett
Last 8: Frost 4-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Frost
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
2
Frost
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
48.2% (766)
-2.6%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
45.1% (82)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
33.9% (56)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Frost
Bennett
Home
47.0% (440)
49.1% (458)
Away
44.8% (511)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Frost
Bennett
P1
42.5%
47.9%
P2
47.9%
47.2%
P3
46.6%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
45.8%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |