Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Bennett 47.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 57.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 62.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 57.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Frost
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Frost
Bennett
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
5
Frost
Bennett
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
3
Frost
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
6
9
Frost
Bennett
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
46.8% (5,683)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
53.7% (555)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
41.8% (256)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Frost
Bennett
Home
51.0% (2,047)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Frost
Bennett
P1
50.8%
48.0%
P2
51.1%
46.5%
P3
48.5%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |