Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Bennett 45.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 50.4%
Defensive zone
Bennett 64.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Frost
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Frost
Bennett
Last 7: Frost 3-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Frost
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Frost
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
44.7% (772)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
56.9% (58)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
42.9% (28)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Frost
Bennett
Home
49.9% (399)
48.5% (447)
Away
49.1% (424)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Frost
Bennett
P1
51.2%
47.1%
P2
53.9%
45.8%
P3
42.7%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |