Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Couturier 55.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 54.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 76.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Frost
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Frost
Couturier
Last 6: Frost 4-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Frost
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
55.1% (1,008)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
64.1% (142)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
53.3% (45)
-3.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Frost
Couturier
Home
50.7% (489)
58.1% (609)
Away
51.7% (544)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Frost
Couturier
P1
53.6%
55.3%
P2
47.8%
55.8%
P3
52.0%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |