Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Couturier 52.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 54.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 85.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 63.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Frost
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Frost
Couturier
Last 10: Frost 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
1
Frost
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Frost
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
52.5% (11,063)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
59.7% (1,280)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
48.5% (1,816)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Frost
Couturier
Home
51.0% (2,047)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Frost
Couturier
P1
50.8%
52.5%
P2
51.1%
52.6%
P3
48.5%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |