Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Nosek 51.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 75.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 63.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Frost
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Frost
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Frost
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Frost
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
54.4% (215)
-5.8%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
0.0% (1)
+55.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
23.5% (17)
+1.5%
On power play, Frost has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Frost
Nosek
Home
49.9% (399)
50.4% (127)
Away
49.1% (424)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Frost
Nosek
P1
51.2%
51.4%
P2
53.9%
51.3%
P3
42.7%
53.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |