Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.8%). Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Nosek 51.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 70.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 69.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 52.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Frost
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Frost
Nosek
Last 10: Frost 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Frost
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Frost
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
53.0% (400)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
33.3% (12)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
45.5% (44)
+4.5%
On power play, Frost has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Frost
Nosek
Home
50.7% (489)
49.6% (244)
Away
51.7% (544)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Frost
Nosek
P1
53.6%
53.1%
P2
47.8%
51.4%
P3
52.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |