Morgan Frost vs Tomas Nosek

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Nosek holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Frost 50.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor Nosek leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone Frost 77.7%
Defensive zone Nosek 73.3%
Neutral zone Frost 50.8%
Result Morgan Frost favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Frost Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 10 (19 meetings)
9
10
Frost Nosek
Last 10: Frost 5-5 Nosek

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
1
Frost Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Frost Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
5
6
Frost Nosek
11 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Frost
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
54.9% (2,674)
-5.5%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
44.7% (47)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
47.4% (424)
+5.4%
On power play, Frost has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Frost
Nosek
Home
51.0% (2,047)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Frost
Nosek
P1
50.8%
52.3%
P2
51.1%
54.0%
P3
48.5%
54.6%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%
59.0%
50.3%
Nosek
46.0%
49.0%
53.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 20, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 20, 2026 2 13:55 Neutral Tomas Nosek
Mar 20, 2026 2 10:10 Neutral Tomas Nosek
Mar 20, 2026 2 07:50 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 20, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Tomas Nosek
Mar 20, 2026 1 04:45 Offensive Morgan Frost
Mar 20, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 1, 2025 3 19:29 Defensive Tomas Nosek
Jan 13, 2025 2 07:32 Defensive Tomas Nosek
Dec 5, 2024 3 10:13 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 5, 2024 3 05:39 Neutral Tomas Nosek
Dec 5, 2024 2 17:41 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 5, 2024 2 17:34 Neutral Tomas Nosek
Dec 5, 2024 1 13:58 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 5, 2024 1 13:39 Defensive Tomas Nosek
Dec 5, 2024 1 05:42 Defensive Morgan Frost
Dec 5, 2024 1 02:36 Neutral Morgan Frost
Feb 17, 2024 3 04:20 Offensive Tomas Nosek
Feb 17, 2024 2 02:23 Neutral Tomas Nosek