Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 73.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 69.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 69.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Frost
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Frost
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Frost
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Frost
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
56.3% (739)
-7.7%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
58.6% (181)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.2% (53)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Frost
Karlsson
Home
49.9% (399)
56.5% (462)
Away
49.1% (424)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Frost
Karlsson
P1
51.2%
57.1%
P2
53.9%
55.2%
P3
42.7%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |