Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Geekie 44.9% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 72.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Staal
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Staal
Geekie
Last 8: Staal 8-0 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
43.7% (584)
+15.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
47.1% (68)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
50.0% (8)
+1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Staal
Geekie
Home
57.0% (646)
45.3% (329)
Away
59.1% (729)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Staal
Geekie
P1
55.9%
41.2%
P2
55.4%
45.0%
P3
62.0%
46.2%
OT
70.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |