Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Geekie 48.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-5 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 78.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 94.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Staal
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
5
(24 meetings)
19
5
Staal
Geekie
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
2
Staal
Geekie
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
3
Staal
Geekie
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Geekie
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
48.8% (2,307)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
45.7% (188)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
45.7% (129)
+2.3%
On power play, Staal has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Staal
Geekie
Home
56.4% (9,663)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Staal
Geekie
P1
55.2%
48.6%
P2
55.9%
48.8%
P3
54.9%
47.7%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |