Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Geekie 48.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 58.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 77.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Eller
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Eller
Geekie
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
4
Eller
Geekie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
Geekie
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
7
1
Eller
Geekie
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
48.8% (2,307)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
45.7% (188)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
45.7% (129)
+1.0%
On power play, Eller has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Eller
Geekie
Home
51.4% (6,118)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Eller
Geekie
P1
51.2%
48.6%
P2
50.1%
48.8%
P3
50.2%
47.7%
OT
56.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |