Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Sturm 56.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 85.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 71.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Geekie
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Geekie
Sturm
Last 10: Geekie 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Geekie
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Geekie
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Geekie
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,307)
57.1% (2,719)
-8.3%
Power Play
45.7% (188)
61.3% (62)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
51.0% (498)
-5.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Geekie shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Geekie
Sturm
Home
50.0% (1,281)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
46.8% (1,343)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Geekie
Sturm
P1
48.6%
56.5%
P2
48.8%
54.9%
P3
47.7%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |