Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 49.3% vs Sturm 55.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 59.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 84.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 63.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Geekie
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Geekie
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Geekie
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (505)
56.1% (716)
-6.2%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
67.7% (31)
-67.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (93)
51.1% (133)
-2.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +67.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Geekie shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Geekie
Sturm
Home
50.0% (314)
55.6% (412)
Away
48.3% (290)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Geekie
Sturm
P1
51.3%
59.6%
P2
46.9%
52.0%
P3
49.5%
55.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |