Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 55.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 64.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Geekie
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Geekie
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Geekie
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
60.6% (708)
-16.9%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
61.1% (18)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
56.4% (101)
-6.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Geekie
Sturm
Home
45.3% (329)
61.6% (451)
Away
42.9% (331)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Geekie
Sturm
P1
41.2%
55.9%
P2
45.0%
58.9%
P3
46.2%
64.6%
OT
0.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |