Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs Sturm 57.1% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 78.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 78.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Geekie
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Geekie
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Geekie
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
62.1% (356)
-16.4%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
75.0% (4)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
38.7% (62)
-5.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Geekie shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Geekie
Sturm
Home
48.5% (165)
61.8% (191)
Away
45.0% (209)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Geekie
Sturm
P1
48.5%
58.0%
P2
45.1%
57.9%
P3
45.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |