Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 49.3% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 54.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 52.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 58.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Geekie
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Geekie
Lorentz
Last 5: Geekie 4-1 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (505)
48.3% (497)
+1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
63.6% (11)
-63.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (93)
38.5% (39)
+9.9%
On power play, Lorentz has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Geekie shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Geekie
Lorentz
Home
50.0% (314)
50.4% (238)
Away
48.3% (290)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Geekie
Lorentz
P1
51.3%
49.1%
P2
46.9%
48.0%
P3
49.5%
47.2%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |