Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+10.1%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 67.5%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 69.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Geekie
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
30.8% (26)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
57.1% (7)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Geekie shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Geekie
Lorentz
Home
48.5% (165)
35.0% (20)
Away
45.0% (209)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Geekie
Lorentz
P1
48.5%
38.5%
P2
45.1%
37.5%
P3
45.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%