Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Lorentz 49.4% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 54.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 56.7%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Geekie
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
48.9% (135)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Lorentz has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Geekie
Lorentz
Home
45.3% (329)
50.7% (75)
Away
42.9% (331)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Geekie
Lorentz
P1
41.2%
60.0%
P2
45.0%
46.3%
P3
46.2%
44.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%