Anton Lundell vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Lundell
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lundell
MacKinnon
Last 7: Lundell 2-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Lundell
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Lundell
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
49.2% (1,266)
+5.4%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
54.9% (193)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
49.1% (55)
-4.2%
On even strength, Lundell has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundell is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Lundell shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Lundell
MacKinnon
Home
51.2% (527)
50.9% (740)
Away
54.8% (496)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Lundell
MacKinnon
P1
53.7%
50.9%
P2
51.7%
51.8%
P3
54.1%
47.1%
OT
20.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |