Calle Jarnkrok vs Nathan MacKinnon
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 47.0%). Jarnkrok wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Last 5: Jarnkrok 4-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
45.2% (365)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
57.1% (63)
-7.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jarnkrok is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jarnkrok shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Home
44.5% (362)
48.0% (225)
Away
48.4% (279)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
P1
48.5%
41.1%
P2
45.9%
49.6%
P3
44.7%
48.9%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |