Calle Jarnkrok vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 63.9%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Last 10: Jarnkrok 1-9 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
48.2% (849)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
51.0% (151)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
44.7% (47)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jarnkrok is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Jarnkrok shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Home
49.5% (396)
51.2% (521)
Away
42.2% (403)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
P1
41.6%
49.9%
P2
42.8%
48.0%
P3
52.5%
47.9%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |