Jason Dickinson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 75.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 64.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Last 7: Dickinson 1-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Dickinson
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Dickinson
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
44.7% (1,053)
+3.9%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
36.8% (95)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
65.0% (20)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Dickinson shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Home
45.4% (368)
49.4% (553)
Away
49.9% (403)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Dickinson
MacKinnon
P1
49.2%
45.3%
P2
46.3%
42.7%
P3
48.1%
45.1%
OT
44.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |