Luke Glendening vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Glendening wins 67.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.6% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 89.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 73.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Glendening
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Glendening
MacKinnon
Last 10: Glendening 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
6
Glendening
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (535)
45.8% (755)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
48.3% (60)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
27.6% (29)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Glendening is 67.5% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Glendening shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Glendening
MacKinnon
Home
59.7% (365)
49.5% (396)
Away
57.7% (359)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Glendening
MacKinnon
P1
65.3%
50.2%
P2
52.4%
43.8%
P3
58.7%
41.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |