Mika Zibanejad vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 84.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 72.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Last 10: Zibanejad 9-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
1
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
2
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
49.2% (1,266)
+3.7%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
54.9% (193)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
49.1% (55)
-2.9%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Home
55.1% (501)
50.9% (740)
Away
49.2% (555)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
P1
57.5%
50.9%
P2
50.7%
51.8%
P3
47.9%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | OT | 02:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |