Mikael Granlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 53.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 72.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 60.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Granlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Granlund
MacKinnon
Last 9: Granlund 2-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Granlund
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Granlund
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
50.0% (992)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
64.9% (148)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
34.4% (32)
-3.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Granlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Granlund
MacKinnon
Home
53.3% (255)
53.3% (591)
Away
44.4% (351)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Granlund
MacKinnon
P1
51.3%
49.9%
P2
48.8%
53.2%
P3
44.4%
50.8%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |