Mikael Granlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.4%). Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Granlund wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 45.7% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 58.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Granlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Granlund
MacKinnon
Last 8: Granlund 3-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Granlund
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (295)
44.7% (1,053)
+2.1%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
36.8% (95)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (63)
65.0% (20)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Granlund is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Granlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Granlund
MacKinnon
Home
47.8% (178)
49.4% (553)
Away
41.7% (206)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Granlund
MacKinnon
P1
44.7%
45.3%
P2
42.9%
42.7%
P3
45.7%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
39.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |