Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Cousins 48.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Neutral zone
Cousins 53.9%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
MacKinnon
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
MacKinnon
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
44.0% (25)
+6.0%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Cousins is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Cousins
Home
53.3% (591)
47.1% (17)
Away
49.6% (581)
37.5% (8)
By Period
MacKinnon
Cousins
P1
49.9%
35.7%
P2
53.2%
33.3%
P3
50.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |