Scouting Report
Nick Cousins holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Cousins 50.8% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Cousins 57.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 59.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
MacKinnon
Cousins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
56.7% (30)
-11.2%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
0.0% (1)
+56.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Cousins is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Cousins
Home
47.8% (670)
45.5% (11)
Away
44.6% (644)
57.1% (21)
By Period
MacKinnon
Cousins
P1
45.3%
55.6%
P2
48.5%
55.6%
P3
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.1%