Scouting Report
Nick Cousins holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Cousins 49.6% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Cousins 52.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
MacKinnon
Cousins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
49.3% (140)
-4.6%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
0.0% (1)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
66.7% (3)
-1.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Cousins is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Cousins
Home
49.4% (553)
51.8% (83)
Away
40.0% (615)
45.9% (61)
By Period
MacKinnon
Cousins
P1
45.3%
52.9%
P2
42.7%
35.6%
P3
45.1%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.3%