Scouting Report
Nick Cousins holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Cousins 49.0% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Cousins 55.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
MacKinnon
Cousins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
47.4% (38)
-1.6%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
45.5% (11)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Cousins is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Cousins
Home
49.5% (396)
50.0% (20)
Away
41.7% (448)
44.8% (29)
By Period
MacKinnon
Cousins
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
43.8%
52.6%
P3
41.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.9%