Scouting Report
Nick Cousins holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Cousins 47.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
MacKinnon
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKinnon
Cousins
Last 5: MacKinnon 1-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
1
3
MacKinnon
Cousins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
MacKinnon
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (1,039)
47.0% (477)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
45.2% (42)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
MacKinnon shoots right. Cousins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Cousins
Home
48.0% (586)
48.3% (234)
Away
39.5% (597)
45.5% (286)
By Period
MacKinnon
Cousins
P1
46.1%
53.2%
P2
41.5%
43.5%
P3
43.8%
44.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |