Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Foligno
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
MacKinnon
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
MacKinnon
Foligno
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
MacKinnon
Foligno
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
6
MacKinnon
Foligno
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
48.3% (2,810)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
52.3% (730)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
44.0% (455)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Foligno
Home
49.7% (6,444)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
MacKinnon
Foligno
P1
47.4%
47.6%
P2
46.6%
50.4%
P3
46.1%
48.3%
OT
48.4%
29.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |