Nathan MacKinnon vs Phillip Danault
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Danault 54.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 75.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 76.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 77.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
MacKinnon
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
MacKinnon
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
MacKinnon
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
MacKinnon
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
55.1% (953)
-10.4%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
64.6% (144)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
42.0% (176)
+23.0%
On power play, Danault has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Danault
Home
49.4% (553)
55.4% (641)
Away
40.0% (615)
53.3% (632)
By Period
MacKinnon
Danault
P1
45.3%
61.0%
P2
42.7%
52.3%
P3
45.1%
51.3%
OT
46.2%
35.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |