Nathan MacKinnon vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Danault 53.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 53-40 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 82.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 78.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 85.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
MacKinnon
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
53
(93 meetings)
40
53
MacKinnon
Danault
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
16
8
MacKinnon
Danault
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
11
18
MacKinnon
Danault
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
13
27
MacKinnon
Danault
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
53.6% (9,447)
-7.5%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
61.4% (757)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
47.4% (1,702)
-4.6%
On power play, Danault has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Danault
Home
49.7% (6,444)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
MacKinnon
Danault
P1
47.4%
53.7%
P2
46.6%
53.5%
P3
46.1%
52.7%
OT
48.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |