Nathan MacKinnon vs Phillip Danault
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Danault 51.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 81.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 75.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
MacKinnon
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
MacKinnon
Danault
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
MacKinnon
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
4
MacKinnon
Danault
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
3
MacKinnon
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
52.6% (895)
-7.1%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
55.7% (97)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
45.5% (165)
-5.5%
On even strength, Danault has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Danault
Home
47.8% (670)
54.0% (581)
Away
44.6% (644)
49.7% (576)
By Period
MacKinnon
Danault
P1
45.3%
53.7%
P2
48.5%
55.3%
P3
45.0%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |