Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Bellemare 51.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 88.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 75.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Last 5: MacKinnon 1-4 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
2
MacKinnon
Bellemare
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Bellemare
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
1
MacKinnon
Bellemare
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
53.8% (695)
-8.0%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
46.2% (13)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
45.4% (227)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Bellemare has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bellemare is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Home
49.5% (396)
52.1% (449)
Away
41.7% (448)
51.2% (486)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bellemare
P1
50.2%
54.5%
P2
43.8%
50.9%
P3
41.4%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |