Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Bellemare 52.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bellemare
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
2
MacKinnon
Bellemare
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
53.8% (481)
-9.1%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
100.0% (1)
-63.2%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
46.3% (134)
+18.7%
On power play, Bellemare has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bellemare is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Home
49.4% (553)
53.0% (315)
Away
40.0% (615)
51.5% (301)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bellemare
P1
45.3%
51.4%
P2
42.7%
53.2%
P3
45.1%
52.7%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |