Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bellemare on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Bellemare 51.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Bellemare leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 90.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 81.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
5
MacKinnon
Bellemare
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
9
MacKinnon
Bellemare
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bellemare
2
5
MacKinnon
Bellemare
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
53.4% (5,002)
-7.3%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
58.2% (98)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
45.0% (1,579)
-2.2%
On even strength, Bellemare has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bellemare is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,559).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Home
49.7% (6,444)
53.4% (3,409)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
49.5% (3,270)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bellemare
P1
47.4%
52.2%
P2
46.6%
51.5%
P3
46.1%
51.2%
OT
48.4%
34.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |