Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Bellemare 52.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 81.7%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 56.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.5%
Result
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
1
MacKinnon
Bellemare
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
53.8% (234)
-8.3%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
75.0% (4)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
51.7% (87)
-11.7%
On power play, Bellemare has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bellemare is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bellemare
Home
47.8% (670)
51.8% (170)
Away
44.6% (644)
55.5% (155)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bellemare
P1
45.3%
52.6%
P2
48.5%
51.8%
P3
45.0%
56.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |