Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.7% vs Donato 50.0% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
MacKinnon
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (825)
51.4% (175)
-2.3%
Power Play
65.4% (130)
41.9% (31)
+23.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
MacKinnon shoots right. Donato is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Donato
Home
52.6% (489)
48.6% (107)
Away
49.1% (495)
51.5% (99)
By Period
MacKinnon
Donato
P1
50.3%
52.0%
P2
52.6%
48.8%
P3
49.2%
47.8%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%