Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Bennett 48.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
MacKinnon
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
46.4% (780)
+3.6%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
57.3% (150)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
47.8% (46)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bennett
Home
53.3% (591)
50.3% (519)
Away
49.6% (581)
45.7% (457)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bennett
P1
49.9%
47.5%
P2
53.2%
46.6%
P3
50.8%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |